Monday, March 25, 2019

Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet - Texas

DFS Racing Sheets - Cup, Xfinity & Trucks

This week's sheets for Texas 2019 are available. They will be updated throughout the week.

Just send me $5 for a sheet:
...or All Three Texas Sheets - $12

Important - In the payment note section:
  • include your gmail address
  • specify which sheet you would like to purchase
  • you can also send this info in a separate email to race4theprize06@gmail.com
Referrals
  • In the paypal/venmo message let me know who referred you, and I'll give them a free sheet. Include their name or twitter handle and I will square them away.
  • If you refer a new sheet user, then make sure to remind them to include your name.

Friday, March 22, 2019

Site Update

If you are looking for the latest podcasts, then click the podcasts tab above, or go to podbean to download the latest fantasy NASCAR podcast. Previously, I had to post the podcasts on this website in order to make the podcast feed work. That's no longer necessary.

Future posts at race4theprize.com will focus on the sheets and NASCAR information/rants. You will find the podcasts on the podcast page, podbean, and all of the other podcasting providers (iTunes, Tune-in, Stitcher, and Spotify)

Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet - Martinsville

DFS Racing Sheets - Cup & Trucks

This week's sheets for Martinsville 2019 are available. They will be updated throughout the week.

Just send me $5 at:
Important - In the payment note section:
  • include your gmail address
  • specify which sheet you would like to purchase
  • you can also send this info in a separate email to race4theprize06@gmail.com
Referrals
  • In the paypal/venmo message let me know who referred you, and I'll give them a free sheet. Include their name or twitter handle and I will square them away.
  • If you refer a new sheet user, then make sure to remind them to include your name.

Thursday, March 21, 2019

217 - Early Optimals Martinsville (cup & truck)

Download Podcast - 217 - Early Optimals Martinsville (cup & truck)

Salaries are out. I make some early week projections and run the optimizer. Find out who's in the early week optimal fantasy NASCAR lineup for the cup & truck race at Martinsville.

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Migration

I was hoping for 10 to 15 downloads a week. That would mean maybe 10 to 15 sheets sold a week, and that would put a nice little dent in my daycare costs and this would all be worth it.

I grossly underestimated the number of listens and sheet sales. I have to scale up, and migrate the podcast to another platform. This is a headache, and to be honest, I have no idea what I am doing. Please be patient. I am sure that I will screw this up, and you will have to subscribe again.

 

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

216 - Martinsville Track History

Download Podcast - 216 - Martinsville Track History

A brief opening segment on the Martinsville Truck race fantasy build is followed by a review of Martinsville Cup track history. We highlight the best drivers based on hog points and average running position.

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215 - Martinsville Optimal Lineups Review

Download Podcast - 215 - Martinsville Optimal Lineups Review

Let's look at the optimal lineups from the last four Martinsville races. With this information, we will be able to form a structure or blueprint for the 2019 optimal lineup. How many hogs do you need? How many punts?

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Monday, March 18, 2019

214 - Name That Hog (martinsville)

Download Podcast - 214 - Name That Hog (martinsville)

Let's play a game. I will give you the salary and the hog points for each of the top 4 hogs in each of the last four Martinsville races, and you will try to guess the correct hog. At the true short tracks, hog points are everything. There are 500 laps at Martinsville, that's 375 hog points.

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Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet - Martinsville

DFS Racing Sheets - Cup & Trucks

This week's sheets for Martinsville 2019 are available. They will be updated throughout the week.

Just send me $5 at:
Important - In the payment note section:
  • include your gmail address
  • specify which sheet you would like to purchase
  • you can also send this info in a separate email to race4theprize06@gmail.com
Referrals
  • In the paypal/venmo message let me know who referred you, and I'll give them a free sheet. Include their name or twitter handle and I will square them away.
  • If you refer a new sheet user, then make sure to remind them to include your name.

213 - Fontana Cup Recap

Download Podcast - 213 - Fontana Cup Recap

Main takeaways: Even with few laps, elite hogs find a way to hit value. Busch at Fontana and Harvick would have at Las Vegas, if not for his greased up pit stall. For whatever reason, I have to be constantly reminded of this. Fade an elite driver based on the car/track, not their price. Also, how should we approach Hid-Lop research moving forward?

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Saturday, March 16, 2019

212 - Fontana Cup Weekend Podcast

Download Podcast - 212 - Fontana Cup Weekend Podcast

These are my post qualifying thoughts as of Saturday morning. You will need to buy the DFS NASCAR spreadsheet, if you want to know my final stance. Otherwise, there are my base thoughts for the Auto Club 400 race.

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Friday, March 15, 2019

211 - Start & Park

Download Podcast - 211 - Start & Park

start and park fantasy nascar
I cannot believe that I have to say this, but Start and Park cars are real. Then again, many people believe that the earth is flat, so it does not surprise me that I have to record a podcast explaining that Start & Park cars do exist in the Xfinity series. Daily Fantasy NASCAR players are well versed in S&P rides, but casual Xfinity fans or nut jobs, may not know of their existence. I hope that this is only an exercise in semantics, and after this podcast, we can move forward with a common understanding of Start and Park Xfinity rides.

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Thursday, March 14, 2019

Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet - Auto Club (Fontana)

DFS Racing Sheets - Cup & Xfinity

This week's sheets for Fontana 2019 are available. They will be updated throughout the week.

Just send me $5 at:
Important - In the payment note section:
  • include your gmail address
  • specify which sheet you would like to purchase
  • you can also send this info in a seperate email to race4theprize06@gmail.com
Referrals
  • In the paypal/venmo message let me know who referred you, and I'll give them a free sheet. Include their name or twitter handle and I will square them away.
  • If you refer a new sheet user, then make sure to remind them to include your name.

I don't make picks, run models, design algorithmic projections, write cheat sheets, record live shows, or answer Q&A. I just make a spreadsheet that I believe is helpful.

210 - Early Fontana Optimal Runs - Cup & Xfinity

Download Podcast - 210 - Early Fontana Optimal Runs - Cup & Xfinity

Fantasy NASCAR Prices are out at DraftKings, so let's run some optimals. I use my John Henry projections to guide the process. Remember, this is early, but after some tinkering, I like the lineups that optimizer spits out.

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Wednesday, March 13, 2019

209 - Fontana Stats

Download Podcast - 209 - Fontana Stats

Will Fontana go green or become a wreckfest? We analyze the results of last year's green Fontana race and the wreckfests that preceded it. Driver ratings are compared to actual finish and how late race restarts scramble DFS NASCAR lineups.

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How will the 2019 Package race at Fontana?

Here we are again, guessing what a race will look like in the 2019 NASCAR Hid-Lop package (high downforce, low horsepower). The iRacing series ran this package at Fontana on Tuesday night, and it looked like a Daytona race. For the first 10 to 15 laps, drivers ran side-by-side in a pack. As the tires fell off, the racing morphed into a single file, almost bumper-to-bumper snake that stretched across the track. Restarts were bonkers. Especially, at the end. The last 25 laps were cautions and restart wrecks.

Yes, this is a simulation and not the real thing. Yes, the simulated race was at night, so the cars had more grip. Yes, in iRacing their isn't a large disparity of racing equipment. Nonetheless, a plate race is possible this weekend, see it for yourself:



Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet - Auto Club (Fontana)

DFS Racing Sheets - Cup & Xfinity

This week's sheets for Fontana 2019 are available. They will be updated throughout the week.

Just send me $5 at:
Important - In the payment note section:
  • include your gmail address
  • specify which sheet you would like to purchase

I don't make picks, run models, design algorithmic projections, write cheat sheets, record live shows, or answer Q&A. I just make a spreadsheet that I believe is helpful.

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

208- Hid-Lop Review

Download Podcast - 208 - Hid-Lop Review

There have been two Hid-Lop races (high downforce, low horsepower). Race4thePrize goes over the driver ratings, hog points, fast laps in dirty air, salaries, and fppk from Atlanta and Las Vegas. The goal is to find data points that reveal the hogs at Fontana and the overlooked sleepers.

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207 - Green Speed and Restarts

Download Podcast - 207 - Green Speed and Restarts

Let's look at the green flag speeds from Atlanta and Las Vegas, and the restart speeds from these races. If we want to predict the results for the Hid-Lop package at Fontana, let's look at how it worked in the first two races. Who has speed? Who made gains? Who went backwards? If it's impossible to pass, then who is best on restarts where all of the passing happens? Also, I go on a tangent about Thomas Sowell's Intellectuals and Society. I apologize, just fast forward, if it ain't you thang!

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206 - 2019 Optimal Lineups

Download Podcast - 206 - 2019 Optimal Lineups

optimus GIFThere are four races in the books. Let's analyze the optimal lineups from 2019, so we can build better DFS NASCAR lineups. We'll look at the new rules package and the race events that affected the optimal lineups. Also, some Jeff Gluck praise. Check out his 5 thoughts from Phoenix.

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Monday, March 11, 2019

205 - Cup Recap Phoenix

Download Podcast - 205 - Cup Recap Phoenix

I recorded the recap podcast while driving to go get dinner. That's probably against the rules, but it's just a recap pod. Maybe the white noise will relax you, and calm you for the upcoming Hid-Lop package race at Fontana.

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Sunday, March 10, 2019

Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet - Fontana

DFS Racing Sheets - Cup & Xfinity

This week's sheets for Fontana 2019 are available. They will be updated throughout the week.

Just send me $5 at:
Important - In the payment note section:
  • include your gmail address
  • specify which sheet you would like to purchase

I don't make picks, run models, design algorithmic projections, write cheat sheets, record live shows, or answer Q&A. I just make a spreadsheet that I believe is helpful.

204 - The Fontana Trend

Download Podcast - 204 - The Fontana Trend

Fontana always ends with a shoot out finish due to random, inexplicable cautions at the end of races. Do you build a lineups based on a shoot out, or trust the green flag era continues?

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203 - Xfinity Recap Phoenix

Download Podcast - 203 - Xfinity Recap Phoenix

Well, I almost won $10,000, so that sucks. Let's look at my gut projections compared to the race results. Here's the short form answer - anyone can project Xfinity series results. It's pretty chalky, folks.

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Friday, March 8, 2019

202 - Phoenix Xfinity Lineup Optimization (early run)

Download Podcast - 202 - Phoenix Xfinity Lineup Optimization (early run)

An early look at prices and an early Phoenix Xfinity projection accompanied by some turns on the optimizer. Also, I complain for a brief second about being included in some stupid tout ranking system when I no longer tout!

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Wednesday, March 6, 2019

201 - Phoenix Cup Lineup Optimization (early run)

Download Podcast - 201 - Phoenix Cup Lineup Optimization (early run)

optimus GIFAn early look at prices and an early Phoenix cup projection accompanied by some turns on the optimizer. Also, I worry about tires and the facts surrounding tire tests.

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Tuesday, March 5, 2019

200 - Phoenix 2018 Optimal Lineups and Practice Analysis

Download Podcast - 200 - Phoenix 2018 Optimal Lineups and Practice Analysis

In podcast #200, I just go about the business. No frills, folks, just stats. Maybe, a little #200 finger pointing, but nothing out of the ordinary. I look at the optimal lineups from both 2018 Cup races at Phoenix (or IMS) and determine how much we should trust practice data this week.

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Monday, March 4, 2019

199 - Phoenix Trends (Crazy or Calm)

Download Podcast - 199 - Phoenix Trends (Crazy or Calm)

Is Phoenix a wreck fest or a conservative race? This matters. Knowing this trend will determine how DFS NASCAR players choose their value picks. A wreck fest means chasing place differential long shots. A conservative race means picking drivers that hang on to the lead lap.

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Sunday, March 3, 2019

Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet - Phoenix 2019

DFS Racing Sheets - Cup & Xfinity

This week's sheets for Phoenix 2019 are available. They will be updated throughout the week.

Just send me $5 at:
Important - In the payment note section:
  • include your gmail address
  • specify which sheet you would like to purchase

198 - Cup Las Vegas Recap

Download Podcast - 198 - Cup Las Vegas Recap

That was a disappointing race. I feel bad for hyping that terrible race up, but let's get over Las Vegas by talking fantasy NASCAR implications.

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FLASHBACK - 162 - Phoenix 2018 Build

FLASHBACK - Download Podcast - 162 - Fantasy NASCAR Podcast - Phoenix (part 1)

Building the Phoenix spring 2018 winning lineup based on the fantasy NASCAR spreadsheet. Harvick is chalk, but how should we have filled out the rest of the lineup? What strategies are the best for DFS NASCAR lineup construction?

Where to listen
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197 - Xfinity Las Vegas Recap

Download Podcast - 197 - Xfinity Las Vegas Recap

Kyle Busch is the greatest racer of all time. I foolishly thought that I could get away with fading him in the trucks, but I knew better in the Xfinity series. Tyler Wrecked-ick did his thing, and Christopher Bell is going to stink up a lot of shows this year.

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