Wednesday, January 30, 2019

172 - New Gambling Rules Disaster

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NASCAR did what they always do, create rules that create new problems. The road to hell is paved with good intentions. NASCAR does not want gambling to affect the integrity of the sport, so they created gambling rules based on gray area, judgmental calls that will result in a distant relationship between the media and teams. Do you want to know if your driver is happy about his car this weekend? Sorry, we can't tell you. That's inside information. Welcome to the NASCAR dark ages.
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171 - You still Jayski?

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It's always sad when people lose their jobs, and no, I'm not going to tell them to learn to code. However, this isn't a big deal. Jayski had been dead for years. I don't understand the twitter eulogies. It's just a website.

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Tuesday, January 29, 2019

Upcoming Podcasts


  • Las Vegas Test thoughts

  • Jayski was already dead
  • What’s inside information and the official gambling snitch line
  • Dale Jr.’s goatee
  • Probably some more clash stats
  • Do drivers really peak in their mid 30s?

Friday, January 25, 2019

170 - Watching the Daytona Clash 2017 at 2x

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I watched the 2017 Daytona Clash and analyzed the driving. It was pretty boring. In the beginning of the race, the drivers went two and three wide at times, but three-quarters of the race was single file follow the leader racing. There was a wreck on the last lap because of aggressive bump drafting, but other than that, the wrecks were uneventful. My clash DFS build takeaway is to play drivers in the back (like always) or the "3 team stack and 3 in the back" build. I explain this during the podcast. (same notes as 2018 Clash Viewing)

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Thursday, January 24, 2019

169 - Daytona Clash Trends #1 (2019)

Download Podcast - 169 - Daytona Clash Trends #1 (2019)

Looking at the trends for the most trendiest of races. Where do the top DFS scores start? Do drivers matter? Does salary matter? Is the Daytona Clash a wreckfest or a conservative snooze? Can anyone defeat RotoDoc at Daily Fantasy NASCAR when it comes to the Daytona Clash?

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Wednesday, January 23, 2019

168 - Motorsports Analytics

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I subscribed to Motorsports Analytics. It's excellent. I'm not sure that it will help with DFS strategy, but there may be some utility to this website. Regardless of a DFS edge, this is the best NASCAR writing on the internet. The analytics and insider gossip are enlightening.

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Sunday, January 20, 2019

167 - Watching the Daytona Clash 2018 at 2x

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I watched the 2018 Daytona Clash and analyzed the driving. It was pretty boring. In the beginning of the race, the drivers went two and three wide at times, but three-quarters of the race was single file follow the leader racing. There was a wreck on the last lap because of aggressive bump drafting, but other than that, the wrecks were uneventful. My clash DFS build takeaway is to play drivers in the back (like always) or the "3 team stack and 3 in the back" build. I explain this during the podcast.

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Friday, January 18, 2019

166 - DFS and Back Pain

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Are you suffering from back pain? Are you working too much? Are you sitting at a computer too much? Watching sports on the couch too much? Had back pain since you were young? The doctors have confirmed this? You're wrong. Your back pain can end today. John Sarno figured it out. Healing Back Pain is a short book that will change your life.

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Thursday, January 17, 2019

Future of NASCAR - IROC Redux

IROC XXX 2006 Race 2 - Texas


(watch it at 2x speed - more exciting and it wont consume as much time)

Takeaways:
  • We do not know that the "plate light" package will be this extreme, but if so...
  • Tandem racing will be popular (two car bump drafts or 3-4 cars lines)
  • Side drafting will result in cars spreading out all over the track to find clean air and avoid side drafting. This along with the reduced speeds will result in multiple racing grooves.
  • A bump draft tandem or a group of 3-4 cars will earn the fast laps, and not necessarily the car running in first.
  • The Talladega Fall 2018 was dominated by SHR cars working together. The 2019 intermediate tracks could become team races or manufacturer races.
  • Spotters will be busy, and specific spotters may give a driver an edge - T.J. Majors/Joey Logano combo comes to mind.
  • Passing takes a lot of work. Drivers who are accustomed to passing simply because they have a better car will no longer have that advantage. Drivers must be patient or else frustration could result in wrecks (e.g. 8 laps to go - https://youtu.be/DqIb9-M57k8?t=2904)
  • Off the top of my head, patient plate drivers that might excel this year - Austin Dillon, Ryan Newman, Paul Menard, Joey Logano.
  • This package would have been great for A.J. Allmendinger. He ran well in the all star race and had been great at the plate races over the last couple years.
  • Ricky Stenhouse could be great now that he's on an even playing field. On the other hand, his aggressive plate style could wreck the field.

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

165 - The Post Fast Lap Era

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The post fast lap era

(note: podcast recorded at 3 a.m. while holding a semi-sleeping baby)

We do not know how this will work. It’s theoretical...in the past, NASCAR theoretically fixed the sport with annual down force reductions, but nothing changed.

In defense of the latest theoretical fix, the previous package changes were widely criticized from the get go....

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Upcoming Pre-Season Racing Schedule

Upcoming Pre-Season Racing Schedule

Jan 18-19: Chili Bowl on Mav TV

Jan 19-20: Race of Champions in Mexico - (not sure if there is TV coverage)

Jan 26-27: Rolex 24 at Daytona

Jan 31 - Feb 1: Las Vegas 2019 package test

Feb 9: Clash practice

Feb 10: Daytona 500 qualifying and Clash

Next week... Daytona 500 week (Trucks, Xfinity, and Cup)

Wednesday, January 9, 2019

164 - Fontana Test and Sauter

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Johnny Sauter says, "I don't pay to race," then you don't race. Welcome to 2019 Johnny. Also in the news, NASCAR tests the new restrictor plate package at Fontana.

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Tuesday, January 8, 2019

163 - Optimal Lineups

Download Podcast - 163 - Talking optimal lineups

It's been a while since I recorded a podcast, so I decide to talk about optimal daily fantasy NASCAR optimal lineups.

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