Monday, December 28, 2020

An Example of the DFS NASCAR Analysis to come...

Now that everything is free, much of my analysis will go here. Statistical analysis and DFS thoughts that were typically inside the spreadsheet for the eyes of my generous patrons will be posted at race4theprize.com.

There’s not much to write in terms of stats and pre/post race thoughts at this time in December, but let me give you an example.
I loved Harrison Burton at Phoenix in November. The JGR cars were on a completely different level than rest of the field in the spring race. Kyle Busch and Brandon Jones battled at the end for the win, but Burton was not too far behind. Also, Burton was hot at the end of the season earning back-to-back legit wins at Texas and Martinsville.

Allgaier was #1 and Cindric was #2. Briscoe is garbage at short tracks especially Phoenix, so that was an easy fade. That leaves Burton as the 3rd hog. Well it wasn't Burton, he was a 5th place car at best. It was Jones again. The winner of the spring race, and the driver that should have won the fall 2019 Phoenix truck race.

I'll own it. I always do, but if you played Burton and don't want to bury yourself, let me offer you this nugget. Harrison Burton pit cycled under green on lap 160 and went a lap down, then a caution came out. He had to take the wave around, this means restarting deep in the field, thus ending his chances. How do I remember this? I don't remember because I cannot remember everything and neither can you. That's why I collect the notes.



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